A few days ago, many of us were popping champagne over the news that Bill Sali was apparently preparing himself for a rematch against newly-minted Dem Rep. Walt Minnick.
Former GOP Rep. Bill Sali told 670 KBOI late Friday afternoon that support for a rematch against Democrat Walt Minnick “runs very deep,” but that he hasn’t decided whether to run in 2010. […]
“I haven’t made a decision yet,” Sali told KBOI’s Nate Shelman in a six-minute interview. “I promise everyone when I make a decision I will let everyone know.” Sali did not take calls on Shelman’s talk show.
Earlier Friday, Sali told the Associated Press, “I am months away from any decision.”
Candidates are required to file statements of candidacy if they raise or spend $5,000 for the upcoming election. Sali said he had spent more than $5,000, and the filing was a technical matter.
“Runs very deep”, eh? Thank God for brain fade.
My support runs very deep for him . . . until the primary is over.
I need to go take a shower. Hearing Sali say “runs very deep” makes me feel dirty.
This is kind of on my list of, 95% already gone so don’t be surprised come election night. (It’s pretty much my only seat on that list.)
Here is what I figure though, Minnick didnt just beat Sali in a district that is R+12 (if I did that configuring right), but during a presidential year. From my brief time at analyizing politics, one hypothesis I have is that it is easier to win these tough districts in off-years because you dont have the full force of that districts leaning coming out to vote. You really only have the educated voters.
However, did all those voters who naturally HEAVILY lean Republican decide to vote for Minnick because Sali was such a sack of shit, probably. They’re probably more open to split-ticket voting because they’ll vote for whoever is the least perceived douche bag. So did we need a presidential year of under-educated voters (I’m no longer using the phrase “uneducated voter” ever again, undereducated makes a hell of a lot more sense) to throw him out as they’ll just toss out the douchebag and not necessarily just a party? Could that have been replicated in an off-year? And to add to that, Minnick only won due to Sali being who he is, with this kind of a district leaning, it seems to me like an automatic pick-up for the GOP, since we only won based off a fluke idiot incumbent. See TX-22, winning bc of a fluke gives you 2 years but not much else at times.